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渣打银行：比特币有望在年底前达到 15 万美元，到 2025 年底将达到 20 万美元

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维维安·阮

四月 2024 年 24 日

渣打银行数字资产研究主管估计，ETF 资金流入可能会飙升至 500 亿至 1000 亿美元。

渣打银行比特币价格预测

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尽管分析师普遍对减半后的暴跌持谨慎态度，但渣打银行数字资产研究主管杰夫·肯德里克(Geoff Kendrick)仍加倍乐观，他表示，比特币到年底可能会达到 15 万美元，到 2025 年底可能会达到 20 万美元。

在美国证券交易委员会批准几只现货比特币 ETF 之前，渣打银行大胆预测到年底比特币价格将飙升四倍。 肯德里克在最近接受彭博社 BNN 采访时重申了这一乐观预测。

在解释显着增长背后的原因时，分析师指出了美国 ETF 市场的增长。 他表示，流入现货比特币 ETF 的资金可能会从目前的 120 亿美元增加到 500 亿至 1000 亿美元。

他的预测部分基于2004年美国推出黄金ETF后黄金市场的历史增长。当黄金ETF市场成熟时，金价上涨了约4.3倍。 Kendrick 指出，如果加密 ETF 市场以类似的方式（可能在 18-24 个月的时间内）成熟，比特币也可能会出现类似的轨迹。

这位分析师预计，随着时间的推移，随着比特币成为一种更容易被接受和获取的投资，对比特币的需求将会增加，可能会将价格推至他的目标范围。

他建议投资者最终将其投资组合的 80% 配置为黄金，20% 配置为比特币。 如果金价横盘整理，这种投资组合分布可能会推动比特币上涨至 150,000 美元至 200,000 美元。

 by year-end and $200,000 by end of 2025: Standard Chartered
by
Vivian Nguyen
Apr. 24, 2024
Standard Chartered's head of digital assets research estimates that the ETF inflows could spike to between $50 billion and $100 billion.
standard chartered bitcoin price forecast
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Despite widespread caution from analysts predicting a post-halving slump, Geoff Kendrick, head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered, is doubling down on his optimistic outlook, saying Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by year-end and $200,000 by the end of 2025.

Before the US Securities and Exchange Commission greenlit several spot Bitcoin ETFs, Standard Chartered boldly predicted a fourfold surge in Bitcoin’s price by year-end. Kendrick reaffirmed this bullish forecast in a recent interview with Bloomberg BNN.

Explaining the reasons behind the notable lift, the analyst pointed to the growth of the US ETF market. According to him, flows into the spot Bitcoin ETFs could increase from the current $12 billion to between $50 billion and $100 billion.

His projections are partly based on the historical growth of the gold market following the introduction of gold ETFs in the US in 2004. When the gold ETF market matured, the price of gold increased approximately 4.3 times. Kendrick noted that a similar trajectory could happen with Bitcoin if the crypto ETF market matures in a comparable way, potentially within an 18-24-month timeframe.

The analyst expects that over time, as Bitcoin becomes a more accepted and accessible investment, demand for Bitcoin will increase, potentially pushing the price to his targeted range.

He suggested that investors eventually allocate 80% of their portfolios to gold and 20% to Bitcoin. If gold prices go sideways, this portfolio distribution could propel Bitcoin to $150,000-$200,000.

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