价格分析 12/29：BTC、ETH、BNB、SOL、XRP、ADA、AVAX、DOGE、DOT、MATIC

比特币（BTC）一直保持着年度涨幅，但发现很难突破本月早些时候创下的 44,700 美元的 17 个月高点。

这表明市场参与者在 1 月份现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 申请决定之前并没有积极增持。

即使一只或多只现货比特币 ETF 获得批准，也很难预测交易者的反应。

批准后对 ETF 缺乏坚实的需求可能会将其变成“卖出消息”事件，而头几天大量资金流入 ETF 可能会导致比特币价格飙升。

每日加密货币市场表现。

来源：

比特币短期价格走势的不确定性提高了对山寨币的购买兴趣。

这是过去几天比特币的主导地位从约 55% 下降至 51% 的原因之一。

比特币会恢复上涨趋势还是屈服于利润预订？

山寨币能否继续保持优异表现？

让我们分析一下前 10 名加密货币的图表来找出答案。

比特币价格分析

12 月 29 日，比特币跌破 20 天指数移动平均线（42,597 美元），但继续在上升三角形模式内交易。

BTC/USDT 日线图。

来源：

相对强弱指数（RSI）已跌至中点附近，表明看涨势头正在减弱。

买家必须将价格推至 44,700 美元以上才能完成三角形并重新获得控制权。

随后，BTC/USDT 货币对可能会升至 49,178 美元的形态目标。

与此假设相反，跌破三角形将使看涨设置无效。

这可能会加速抛售并使该货币对跌至 50 日简单移动平均线（40,295 美元）。

多头将试图在该水平上阻止跌势，但如果失败，下一个支撑位可能是 37,980 美元。

以太币价格分析

以太币 (ETH) 于 12 月 27 日收于下降三角形上方，并试图在 12 月 28 日开始下一阶段的上升趋势。

ETH/USDT 日线图。

来源：

然而，熊们并没有放弃的心情。

他们以 2,445 美元的价格出售，并将价格拉回至 2,403 美元以下。

价格从买家介入的通道跌至突破水平。这表明多头正试图将该水平转变为支撑位。

如果他们这样做，ETH/USDT 货币对将尝试恢复上升趋势。

上行目标为 3,000 美元。

与此同时，空头可能还有其他计划。

他们将尝试将价格拉至 20 日均线（2,269 美元）以下，并开始下跌至通道支撑线 2,000 美元附近。

BNB价格分析

BNB (BNB) 于 12 月 28 日微升至 333 美元的模式目标上方，但未能维持较高水平。

这表明交易者获利了结。

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Now, the BNB/USDT pair could pull back to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $300, which will likely act as a strong support. If the price rebounds off $300, the bulls will again try to push the price toward the formidable hurdle at $350.

On the other hand, if the $300 support cracks, the correction may extend to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $291 and then to the neckline. The bulls are expected to protect the neckline with vigor.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) turned up from the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $96 on Dec. 29, indicating that the sentiment remains positive and traders are buying on dips.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Both moving averages are sloping up, and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that bulls have the edge. The SOL/USDT pair could rise to the recent high of $126, where the bulls are likely to face strong selling by the bears. If bulls overcome this barrier, the pair may jump to $156.

The bears will have to sink the price below the 20-day EMA ($92) to signal a potential trend change in the near term. The pair could then tumble to the 50-day SMA ($71).

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) attempted a rally on Dec. 28, but the bulls could not clear the hurdle at the downtrend line.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price has been trading near the moving averages for the past few days, indicating indecision between the bulls and the bears. The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint suggest that the XRP/USDT pair may extend its stay inside the $0.56 to $0.67 range for some more time.

Buyers will have to drive the price above $0.67 to seize control. The pair could then rise to $0.74, which is likely to act as a strong resistance. The short-term trend will turn bearish if the price plummets below $0.56.

Cardano price analysis

The bulls pushed Cardano (ADA) above the symmetrical triangle pattern on Dec. 28 but could not sustain the higher levels as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A minor advantage in favor of the bulls is that they have not allowed the price to break below the 20-day EMA. This suggests buying at lower levels. If the price rises above the triangle, the bulls will once again try to overcome the barrier at $0.68. If they succeed, it will signal the resumption of the uptrend. The ADA/USDT pair may then climb to $0.80.

The triangle’s support line remains the crucial level for the bulls to defend because if this support gives way, the pair may start a downward move to $0.50, and thereafter to $0.46.

Avalanche price analysis

Avalanche’s (AVAX) correction has reached the strong support at $38, an important level to keep an eye on.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls will try to defend the $38 support and start a relief rally. If that happens, the AVAX/USDT pair may stay range-bound between $38 and $50 for a while. The flattish 20-day EMA ($40) and the RSI above 57 also point to a possible consolidation in the near term with an upward bias.

This view will be invalidated if the price turns down and skids below $38. That may attract further selling, sinking the pair to $34 and eventually to $31.

Related: Bitcoin miners reduce BTC holdings as 'miner price' nears $65K

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been trading near the 20-day EMA ($0.09) for the past few days, indicating a balance between supply and demand.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish 20-day EMA and the RSI near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the buyers or the sellers. In the near term, the price may remain stuck between the 50-day SMA ($0.09) and the $0.10 resistance.

The first sign of strength will be a break above $0.10, and the bullish momentum will likely pick up above $0.11. That opens up the possibility of a rally to $0.16. Contrarily, the bears will gain the upper hand if they sink the DOGE/USDT pair below the 50-day SMA. The pair may then slump to $0.07.

Polkadot price analysis

Polkadot’s (DOT) pullback is nearing the breakout level of $7.90, a crucial level to watch out for in the near term.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Although the upsloping moving averages indicate an advantage to buyers, the negative divergence on the RSI suggests that the bullish momentum could be slowing down. The breakout level of $7.90 is likely to witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears.

If the price rebounds off $7.90, the DOT/USDT pair will attempt a rally to $10, where the bears are expected to offer a stiff resistance. Alternatively, if the price slides below the 20-day EMA ($7.78), the correction could deepen to the 50-day SMA ($6.41).

Polygon price analysis

Polygon (MATIC) turned down from $1.09 on Dec. 27 and dipped below the breakout level of $1 on Dec. 29, indicating profit booking by the bulls.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, lower levels attracted strong buying by the bulls. If the price maintains above $1, the likelihood of a retest of $1.09 increases. The rising 20-day EMA ($0.89) and the RSI in the positive zone suggest that bulls are in command. If the $1.09 resistance is taken out, the MATIC/USDT pair may rally to $1.20 and later to $1.50.

Instead, if the price slips and maintains below $1, the pair could drop to the 20-day EMA. The bears will have to sink the price below this support to signal a range-bound action between $0.70 and $1.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

标签：ADA AVAX bnb BTC