目录
为什么人工智能不是什么大事——但廉价劳动力的终结却是大事
集中化是危险的!
最好的衣服被撕成碎片
加密货币从投机转向症状。
很难确定什么时候。
我们不妨将新冠病毒封锁时代视为加密货币不再是“投机资产类别”并转变为全球社会经济持续崩溃的症状的时期。
内爆的根本原因是中心化——而这已经是一个很长的时间了。
如果您更关注以法定货币衡量的加密货币价格,您一定会喜欢这个。
如何才能赢得西方金融体系终结的赌注?
很简单——加密货币!
不幸的是,这不仅仅是一辆兰博基尼和马贝拉的别墅。
我们处于早期阶段的崩溃将改写我们对社会的看法,以及我们作为全球人类的发展方式。
为什么人工智能不是什么大事——但廉价劳动力的终结却是大事
人工智能并不重要,因为生产力是一个谎言。
如果你向经济学家询问现代西方经济,他们会谈论很多关于生产力的话题。
这完全是胡言乱语。
过去 40 年的全球经济是建立在全球南亚和东亚的廉价劳动力和相当廉价的能源之上的。
就是这么简单。
由于廉价的进口产品和相对低成本的能源,西方消费者(记住这个词)能够比其他情况下更长时间地维持他们的生活水平。
现代西方不再是一个生产者社会,它需要中国、越南和印度尼西亚等地的廉价劳动力来保持美元、欧元和英镑的相对强势。
廉价人工智能的兴起(看看 ChatGPT)并不是什么大问题,因为它不会影响实体行业。
人工智能不会让基础劳动力变得更便宜(没有地方可以去全球),它不会让海运变得更安全(问问任何必须经过胡塞武装的人),人工智能当然不会解决这个问题严重腐败的全球寡头政治在每一个主要权力结构中都根深蒂固。
今天,人们没有看到我们在欧洲文艺复兴之后创造的全球集权水平创造了世界历史上最大的社会拐点。
集权(中央计划)使人们的生存变得更加困难。
因为中央计划者试图控制的“系统”实际上是多个相互关联的复杂系统,所以它远远超出了任何团体的控制范围——即使他们拥有 ChatGPT。
集中化是危险的!
当毛主席决定消灭中国所有的麻雀以提高农业产量时,却产生了相反的效果——而且是很大的效果。
据估计,毛泽东捕杀麻雀的行动导致多达7000万人死亡,并对未来几年的农业生产造成了可怕的影响。
https://www.thevintagenews.com/2016/09/26/1958-mao-zedong-ordered-sparrows-killed-ate-much-grain-caused-one-worst-environmental-disasters-history/
Centralization creates dangerous crackpots!
In the beginning money was gold. The great thing about gold is that the idea of its value was decentralized. People all over the world thought that gold had value, so wherever you went, you could use your gold as money.
It didn’t matter what some crackpot like Mao said – gold was money.
There was no way for a centralized authority to augment or otherwise impinge on the psychological value of gold. Today the global oligarchy has seized control of the Western monetary system via the central banks – and the value of money is suffering.
Sorry all you HODL true believers out there – PEPE isn’t amazing. None of the memecoins are. Even Bitcoin – poor Bitcoin – isn’t that great. Bitcoin is an amazing proof-of-concept. That’s about it. The memecoins that are worth billions today aren’t interesting – but they are limited in supply – just like Bitcoin.
The real problem is the state of the global socioeconomic system. The Western monetary system is falling apart – and the world’s biggest default (in known history) is prevented by creating trillions in new debt. That is why Bitcoin is going north of $500,000 USD.
Hell – Bitcoin might go to $5,000,000 – or even higher.
Choose a number you like!
The reason why cryptocurrencies are going higher – yes – even the humble PEPE token – is that the USA is creating $1 trillion in new debt every 100 days, and that amount will go higher. What is true for the US is true across the Western world.
Inflation will bite hard into the US, EU and British monetary zones as unthinkable amounts of new debt is created and spent (currency is debt) into a flagging global economy. Today there is no way to offset the new currency creation via cheap labor. We also don’t know if seaborne freight coming out of East Asia will be cost-efficient in a decade.
The finely tuned global economic machine built by Western interests after WW2 is falling into tatters – it is an expensive problem!
Existential Is A Fancy Way To Say Survival
In plain language an existential crisis is similar to asking “...are we going to f****** die?”
Everyone dies by the way – and all cause mortality (excess deaths) is on the rise.
In this situation we have to question what will survive over the coming years and decades. The US dollar is done. At least as a store of value. It may continue to act as a means of clearing transactions until businesses can get their hands on enough PEPE or CUMMIES to do business in a sound (defined as limited in quantity) currency.
The idea that somehow the world is going to trust a CBDC sponsored by Russia and China is absurd. People in Russia or China may have to use it – but being forced into horrible situations isn’t new to them. Just ask anyone in China about Mao and the sparrows.
问题是你不能。
这说明了中心化的危险。
中共不会谈论毛和麻雀。
大多数全球政府不会谈论全因死亡率上升的问题。
似乎没有人愿意讨论新冠疫苗死亡事件。
我们想知道谈论即将到来的通货膨胀和货币崩溃是否合法。
如果它不合法,我们认为它将是致命的。
或者正如一位伟大领导人(不是朝鲜的那种领导人)曾经说过的那样——“那些使和平革命变得不可能的人将使暴力革命不可避免。”
https://www.oxfordreference.com/display/10.1093/acref/9780191843730.001.0001/q-oro-ed5-00006245
当时,美国实行金本位制(固定价格为 35 美元/金衡盎司)。
专栏文章:中心化和存在问题首先出现在 Blockonomi 上。
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